In Vitoria they vote 3 out of 4 Alaveses. So, or some who don't vote for the Jeltzales to the capital, they're going to put the PNV's list sheet into the ballot boxes for the General Boards; or, in other places in Álava beyond the capital, the Jeltzales are going to shake. In fact, in Vitoria the latest polls foresee a strong draw, a difference in the vote estimation of only 1.1% between nationalists and sovereigns, while in the General Boards a clear hegemony of the PNV is expected, almost 9%.

In figures, according to the latest Government sociometer, the main results would be as follows:

City Hall of Vitoria-Gasteiz: The PNV would receive 23.8% of the votes and take seven seats (the same as it acquired in 2019); the vote estimate of EH Bildu is 22.7%, with another seven councillors (in 2019 it was the third force, with six seats); behind the PSE-EE, with 21.2% of the votes and six councillors (holding them until now);

In the General Boards of Álava: The PNV would receive 31% of the votes (an increase of 4%), EH Bildu would lose some hundredths, maintain the support of 22%, the PSE-EE would raise half a point around 18%, Elkarrekin We would keep 7%, even if they lost the hundredths, and the PP would follow 15%.

Bilbao, 44% of the PNV votes in the sociometer: eight more points than in the CIS

The state survey was published by CIS a few hours before the official start of the campaign. He conducted 600 surveys in Bilbao. The decrease in the PNV was notable, as 36% of the votes could be “alone”, and some media have fed it.

The Government's sociometer has carried out 1,318 surveys in Bizkaia, of which it has not been specified how many have had in Bilbao. According to this data, the nationalist Juan Mari Aburto would gain support by 2%, from 42% to 44%, very close to the absolute majority (he would need 15 seats, acquired 14 in 2019 and the surveys give him the same).

The PNV can complete the municipal government with the PSE-EE, although the socialists move from second to third force. EH Bildu would have a 16% vote estimate, winning a councilor.

Guipúzcoa: 2.7% difference in favour of Basque nationalists

The rivalry between Eider Mendoza and Maddalen Iriarte continues: The difference between the two nationalist parties was almost 4% of the 2019 results and, according to the latest government sociometer, it is estimated at 2.8%.

In San Sebastian, to the detriment of the dwellings, one councillor plus the sovereigns would win, and among the candidates Eneko Goia and Juan Karlos Izagirre, in councillors, it is 10 and 7.

Four out of ten will not vote

Abstention will be parallel in the General Meetings and in the capital elections. In Donostia-San Sebastián, for example, a 39% abstention is expected (compared with 34% in 2019), while in the other places mentioned, in general, the number of non-voters will increase by 2%. In Vitoria, for example, a technical draw is expected, 6 out of 10 will vote depending on the sociometer.

The PNV has abstained at the beginning of the campaign. Andoni Ortuzar stressed that the lack of a vote feeds the “two ends”. “We must vote: abstention will not solve anything, we will be able to hear your messages,” the EBB stresses.

Arnaldo Otegi, from EH Bildu, also asked for his vote, but otherwise: “These elections must be chosen between the noise and the solutions of the right wing. Some have mud as their only offer to the public. We offer solutions.”