Automatically translated from Basque, translation may contain errors. More information here. Elhuyarren itzultzaile automatikoaren logoa

Gipuzkoa: Game between two

19 April 2024 - 08:00

As for the elections to the Parliament of Vitoria-Gasteiz, in the last decade Gipuzkoa has stood among the other two countries: more changes than in Bizkaia, but far from the fluctuations in power relations in Álava. The alternations in Gipuzkoa, however, have been between the PNV and EH Bildu, leaving the Socialist Party in the background for many years in the autonomic votes.

If we look at some perspective, we have to remember that in 2012 the newborn EH Bildu won the autonomic elections in Gipuzkoa, although it was almost matched with the PNV (each obtained 31% of the votes). Since then, nationalists have prevailed in the autonomic elections: by far in 2016, in the context of the creation of Podemos and the reduction of EH Bildu, and again almost matched in the last 2020 quote – 36% of the nationalist votes and 35% of independence coalitions. It should not be forgotten that the context of the last autonomic election was very special and that participation was the lowest of all times, 52% in Gipuzkoa.

It is expected that A21 will reinforce the trends of the last electoral cycle in this country: the rise of EH Bildu and the decrease in the results of the Basque nationalists. But the key will be to see how far these two trends come, namely the difference between the two sides. Because the polls assume EH Bildu’s triumph in the country, but the results of the 2023 elections also suggest that in Gipuzkoa the difference between EH Bildu and the PNV can increase, unlike the autonomic votes of the last decade.

With 70% of the votes obtained by the two nationalist parties, the rest of the political spaces are weak in the country, although their contribution is essential for the two main parties. Although the PSE-EE has a great influence from the point of view of governance, the analysis of election results places the party at the lows in the last two calls, with about 12% of the votes obtained. If these results are repeated in the votes on Sunday, we would be faced with a structural situation in the Socialist Party. On the other hand, if the results of the fragmented area called the confederal left have their importance from the point of view of alternative governance, in Gipuzkoa very few results are expected. The last issue will be participation, as Sunday will see whether the participation of four years ago was an exception or, on the contrary, a sign of a downward trend for years. Exceeding 60% of participation will be a symbolic barrier.

You are interested in the channel: EAEko hauteskundeak 2024
EH Bildu, first force in Álava

40 years later, Álava was a Spanish feud. What has happened since for a change of this size, the undeniable victory of EH Bidu in the last elections?

This singular fact cannot be understood from an evolutionary process through which Spanish consciousness becomes Basque... [+]

Winners, losers and election orphans

The night of 21 April left quite clear results around the winning and losing election parties. As the Ortuzar have pointed out, voters have given the PNV a new opportunity and it has been the most voted party in the CAV; in Araba and Gipuzkoa the victory has been for EH Bildu,... [+]

Educational and electoral campaign: why are they not able to convince?

As viewers and interested in teaching, as we continue with the election campaign, we are led by the concerts of the Municipal Band of our city, those concerts that we go every year. Musicians would be candidates for the presidency. The same scenario, all ordered, the same... [+]

2024-05-02 | Egoitz Izagirre
On elections

On 21 April we held the Basque elections. Prior to the arrival of the elections, several media surveys were published, many times EH Bildu was considered winner, sometimes in votes and seats, others only in seats. This was a major change for the Basque Parliament elections,... [+]

Contradictory trends?

“The most Abertzale parliament of all time” vs. “Independence is at the historical lows.” These two statements have been heard in recent times and have increased following the elections held on 21 April in Araba, Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa. These two phrases, considered as... [+]

Eguneraketa berriak daude